Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.00001 0.000011 0.000012 0.000014
2025-02-02 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.00001 0.000012 0.000014 0.000017
2025-02-09 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.00001 0.000012 0.000016 0.000021
2025-02-16 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.00001 0.000013 0.000018 0.000025
2025-02-23 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.00001 0.000014 0.000020 0.000029
2025-03-02 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.00001 0.000015 0.000022 0.000035
2025-03-09 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.00001 0.000015 0.000024 0.000040
2025-03-16 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.00001 0.000016 0.000027 0.000048
2025-03-23 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.00001 0.000017 0.000029 0.000056
2025-03-30 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.00001 0.000017 0.000031 0.000062
2025-04-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.00001 0.000018 0.000034 0.000074
2025-04-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.00001 0.000018 0.000036 0.000081
2025-04-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.00001 0.000019 0.000039 0.000094
2025-04-27 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.00001 0.000020 0.000043 0.000112
2025-05-04 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.00001 0.000021 0.000047 0.000128
2025-05-11 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.00001 0.000022 0.000051 0.000148
2025-05-18 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.00001 0.000022 0.000055 0.000171
2025-05-25 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.00001 0.000023 0.000059 0.000196
2025-06-01 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.00001 0.000024 0.000063 0.000224
2025-06-08 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.00001 0.000025 0.000069 0.000260
2025-06-15 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.00001 0.000026 0.000074 0.000299
2025-06-22 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.00001 0.000026 0.000077 0.000328
2025-06-29 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.00001 0.000027 0.000085 0.000392